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Blueprint Prescriptive Section

How to read and apply WHAT, WHEN, HOW, and HOW MUCH recommendations

The prescriptive section is the main output of Blueprint. It translates all the engine computations into clear, actionable trading recommendations organized into four categories: WHAT to trade, WHEN to trade, HOW to trade, and HOW MUCH to risk.

Setup Cards: The Hero Section

Setup cards are the centerpiece of Blueprint. Each card represents a specific cross-dimensional trading combination. Grades are relative, not absolute: Blueprint first sets aside any combination with zero or negative expectancy as Avoid, then ranks the profitable ones by a setup score (expectancy weighted by sample size and synergy) and assigns grades by percentile -- so A++ always means your very best setups, not a fixed win-rate threshold.

  • A++ (Green) -- Your golden setups: the top 5% of your profitable combinations, ranked by setup score
  • A+ (Cyan) -- Strong and reliable: the next band (top 5-15%)
  • A (Blue) -- Good and viable: solid performers (top 15-35%)
  • B (Gray) -- The remaining profitable setups (positive expectancy, but ranked lower than your best; not shown as setup cards)
  • Avoid (Red) -- Stay away: setups with zero or negative expectancy (listed under Analytics > Smart Analysis, not shown as cards)
Setup cards showing A++ and A+ graded trading setups

WHAT to Trade

Each setup card shows the symbol and direction (Long or Short) as colored pills. The WHAT section ("Your Top Markets") lists your symbols with positive average expectancy (minimum 3 trades each), ranked by expectancy -- the top 3 are shown. Setups graded Avoid are combinations with zero or negative expectancy, as described above.

WHEN to Trade

A setup card shows the combination's session (e.g., New York, London) when the session is part of that combination. Your overall timing guidance -- best sessions and best days of the week, ranked by expectancy -- appears in the separate WHEN to Trade section as account-wide rankings, not per combination.

HOW to Trade

The HOW to Trade section shows your best strategies and best timeframes, ranked by expectancy. A setup card also carries its strategy or timeframe tag when that dimension is part of the combination, so you can see exactly which execution context the setup belongs to.

HOW MUCH to Risk

The risk profile at the top of the page shows your recommended risk per trade percentage, risk type (fixed or compounding), and daily/weekly loss limits. Clicking Create Risk Profile saves this recommendation as a new Risk Profile (named "Smart Blueprint" with the date) in Risk Management -- it is not applied to your trading account automatically; assign the profile to your account in Risk Management for the limits to take effect. For prop firm accounts, the risk is automatically capped at 20% of the maximum daily loss rule.

Reading the Metrics

Each setup card displays key metrics: Win Rate (your actual raw win rate -- the Bayesian adjustment works inside the synergy and grading math), Profit Factor (ratio of gross profit to gross loss), Expectancy (average expected R per trade), Synergy (how much better the combination performs than its individual parts would predict), and the trade count behind it. The risk profile card at the top of the page shows the overall confidence badge plus the Monte Carlo results: MC Optimal Risk, Risk of Ruin, and Median Growth.

The Risk of Ruin and drawdown-probability figures are a reality check, not a prediction. Even good setups produce normal losing streaks -- use these numbers to calibrate your expectations and avoid abandoning a working setup after a normal losing streak.
The WHAT, WHEN, and HOW sections above the setup cards show the individual dimension rankings (symbols, sessions, timeframes, strategies) that feed into the setup generation. The deeper per-engine breakdowns (Edge Stability, Behavioral Diagnostics, Monte Carlo, Edge Evolution) live on the Analytics page under Smart Analysis.

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